Where is the road?

With the implementation of West-to-East power transmission, north-south mutual supply, nationwide networking, and the transformation and upgrading of power grids, the market demand for China's transformer industry has expanded. In addition, the continuous application of new materials and new processes, the continuous promotion of energy-saving and emission reduction work for power grid companies, and the upgrading of transformers will require products with higher technological content.

In accordance with the national requirements for accelerating infrastructure construction and stimulating domestic demand, the State Grid has intensified its investment in the future. It is expected that the investment scale for 2010-2012 will exceed RMB 1 trillion, and the construction scale will be 260,000 kilometers for 110 (66) kV and above lines. , Transformer capacity of 1.35 billion kVA, at the same time, invest more than 100 billion yuan to build "two horizontal and two vertical" UHV transmission lines.

In addition, according to the national "Twelfth Five-Year Plan", China's power grid construction will enter the "Ultra High Voltage" and "Intelligent" era. By 2015, China will build a "three vertical and three horizontal and one ring network" and build 11 back UHV. In the HVDC project, by 2020, the UHV network will further expand.

According to the general situation, equipment investment accounts for 60%-70% of the grid investment, and it is estimated that it will drive about 600 billion equipment market. Due to the pulling of power grid construction investment, it is expected that by 2012, China's transformer output will reach 1.924 billion kVA.

Researcher Li Shengfa of the Electric Equipment Manufacturing Industry Research Institute of the Industrial Development Research Institute believes that in the future, the transformer industry will develop towards extra-large ultra-high voltage, and China’s transformer industry should actively adjust the industrial structure and improve the high-end market through technology introduction and extensive absorption of talents. Competitiveness, while increasing industry consolidation, through mergers and acquisitions and other means, continue to expand the company's scale and market share, expand high-end areas, build core competitiveness, in order to better seize the opportunity to achieve industrial transformation and upgrading.

1. The structural adjustment of the transformer industry must not be delayed

With the deepening of China's "energy saving and consumption reduction" policy, the state encourages the development of energy-saving, low noise, and intelligent distribution transformer products. At present, some of the high-energy-dissipation distribution transformers in operation on the Internet do not meet the development trend of the industry and will gradually be replaced by energy-saving, material-saving, environmental protection, and low-noise transformers. Therefore, China's transformer industry must timely adjust the industrial structure, establish new product quality standards, limit the production and sales of low-end products, increase investment in high-end product research and development, improve product competitiveness and market share.

It is understood that at present, foreign transformer companies have achieved certain results in the research and development and application of new technologies, and transformer technology is showing new trends:

Ø High operating reliability, less maintenance, maintenance-free, and no failure;

Ø Reduce loss and reduce weight

Ø Oil-free, non-flammable, explosion-proof;

Ø Low emission, high mechanical capacity;

Ø reduce noise;

Ø Using electronic devices to predict potential failures;

Ø Continuously develop toward ultra-high pressure and large capacity, and pay attention to the reliability research of ultra-high voltage products. The capacity of single station can reach 1000MVA or more;

Ø High-temperature superconducting distribution transformers have been put into operation and gradually popularized.

In the future, electric power transmission will surely go in the direction of extra large high voltage. The transmission voltage level will be developed from 220V, 330V and 500KV to 750KV, 1000KV and other high voltage and ultra high voltage, which will further improve the reliability of the transformer. With high demands, manufacturers should take more measures to improve the reasonableness of the performance and distribution of electricity, magnetism, heat, and force.

In addition, as an important content of urban and rural reconstruction and upgrading in China, urban and rural power grids will be transformed into energy-saving, miniaturized, low-noise, high-impedance, and explosion-proof types. This also encourages transformer manufacturers to strengthen technological innovation to better meet market demand. .

2. The transformer industry consolidation is imperative

In the increasingly open international market, China's transformer manufacturers need to change the chaotic competition in the industry, leading to a lesser situation, investment and merger and reorganization is an important channel, domestic companies can through their own restructuring to achieve the adjustment of the industrial structure, capital, production scale The strength of scientific research has been enhanced to increase the competitiveness of the entire industry and to compete with international leading transnational corporations.

Because China's distribution transformer industry has low access thresholds and the overall level of technology is not high, there are numerous manufacturers in the industry. However, the vast majority of companies are small in scale, weak in market competitiveness, weak in brand effect, and promote industry consolidation and optimize production capacity. The structure is imperative.

As of 2010, China's transformer industry has 2,035 manufacturing enterprises, while only 7 large-scale enterprises have achieved zero growth over the previous year; medium-sized enterprises have 214, an increase of 15 from the previous year, accounting for less than 11%, of which 35 The family had a loss of 246 million yuan; there were 1,814 small-scale enterprises, an increase of 126 over the previous year, accounting for 89% of the total, of which 263 had losses and total losses increased by 13.76% over the same period of last year.

In the transformer manufacturing industry in 2010, in terms of quantity, small-sized enterprises accounted for the vast majority, with the proportion exceeding 89%, and there was an upward trend; the proportion of large-sized enterprises slightly decreased compared with the previous year; the number of medium-sized enterprises accounted for 10.52%, which is relatively high The year decreased by 0.03%.

From the perspective of the proportion of assets, medium-sized companies accounted for 42.44% of the industry's total assets, down from the previous year; small companies accounted for 32.37% of the total assets, ranking second; large companies accounted for the industry's assets 25.19%, up 2.72% from the previous year.

In recent years, the trend of strong alliances among companies in the transformer manufacturing industry and mergers and acquisitions has become increasingly prominent. Through the reintegration of advantageous resources, the company's comprehensive strength has been rapidly improved, and at the same time, it has increased operating efficiency, further strengthened its service capabilities to the market, and formed a stronger comprehensive competitiveness.

Researcher Li Shengfa of the Electric Equipment Manufacturing Industry Research Institute of the Industrial Research Institute pointed out that modern M&A no longer emphasizes competition against competition, and strong alliances have become the main means for companies to gain competitive advantage, which is also a major feature of economic globalization.

3. Countermeasures to resolve the dilemma of the transformer industry

At present, most transformer manufacturing enterprises in China are small and medium-sized enterprises. Many companies enter the industry by taking advantage of the country’s policy of vigorously developing the power industry. The technical strength of products is relatively weak, there are few independent research and development products, and many low-end products are produced in the industry. Companies rely mainly on mass production and sales to achieve economies of scale to survive.

Researcher Li Shengfa of the Electric Equipment Manufacturing Industry Research Institute of the Industry Research Institute pointed out that after experiencing the extensive development of the previous period, China’s transformer industry should improve industry access standards, rationally guide capital entry, guide enterprises to expand reasonably, and resolutely eliminate blind expansion of enterprises. We will resolutely curb excessive investment, eliminate backward production capacity in a timely manner, and standardize the market competition order of the electric transformer industry.

In recent years, due to the rise in raw material prices, overcapacity and excessive competition, the profitability of the transformer industry has dropped sharply, which has aggravated the company's operating risks. This is not conducive to the increase of basic research, R&D investment in the industry leading enterprises, and is not conducive to the industry industry. Upgrading and technological advancement are not conducive to the establishment of international brands, which is not conducive to the continuation of weak leading advantages in China's power equipment manufacturing industry in areas such as UHV AC transmission and nuclear power.

Since the effective concentration of capital and brands cannot be achieved in an over-competitive environment, the government should play a guiding role in the transformer industry, effectively improve industry access standards, curb blind investment, guide enterprises to rationally expand the scale and expand production capacity, and take measures to resolutely curb 200 thousand. The excessive investment in transformers under the volts and conductors below 750 kV has driven the industry enterprises to shift from the pursuit of speed and scale to improve the quality of core technologies and products, and vigorously promote the development of the transformer industry to high-end manufacturing.

4. The transformer industry should actively explore the market and expand exports

With the implementation of China's West-East Power Transmission, North-South mutual supply, nationwide networking, and power grid upgrading and transformation projects, China's transformer industry has ushered in a huge space for development, and the domestic market for transformers is still vast. While domestic transformer manufacturers are actively responding to the needs of the domestic market, they should also actively explore markets in Asia, Africa, Latin America and other countries, and strive to expand exports and participate in global market competition.

From January to November 2010, the total value of imports and exports of China's transformer manufacturing industry was 30.994 billion U.S. dollars, of which the export value was 19.051 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 37.73% over the same period of the previous year, and the trade surplus was 7.118 billion U.S. dollars. Export markets include Hong Kong, U.S., and Europe. Wait.

Researcher Li Shengfa of the Electric Equipment Manufacturing Industry Research Institute of the Industry Research Institute pointed out that China's transformer enterprises should actively use the free trade zones between China and relevant countries (such as the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area) and will be opened (China-New Zealand, The favorable conditions of China-Chile, China-Peru, etc., realize the structural adjustment of export markets of transformer products, promote the expansion of total export volume, and increase product coverage and international market share.

Li Shengfa pointed out at the same time that, as enterprises develop their exports, they must vigorously promote products with independent intellectual property rights and proprietary brand names, pay attention to increasing the proportion of "double-high" products with high technological content and high added value, so that transformers made in China can become large in the international market. Strong and competitive.

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