Private entrepreneurs gathered in the prime minister's symposium: they all said å•¥

Near the release of the economic "semi-annual transcripts", Zhongnanhai recently held a forum for economic situation experts and business leaders to listen to their opinions and suggestions on the current economic situation and economic work. According to official public information, the July 10th symposium not only invited experts such as Lian Ping, Liu Yuanchun, Zhang Jun, Zhu Baoliang, etc. who are familiar with macroeconomics and capital markets, but also invited Suning Yunshang, Qihoo 360, Weichai Power, DJI Innovation, Keda Xunfei and other representatives of enterprises in the fields of innovation, environmental protection and the Internet are participating.

At the meeting, Premier Li Keqiang said that China's economic growth momentum and downward pressure coexist. It is necessary to achieve coordinated development of multiple goals of growth, price, employment, income and environmental protection through multiple measures, and also create conditions for the healthy and stable development of various markets. People familiar with the economic situation told reporters on the 13th that the "seat guests" invited by the recent prime ministers' forums showed a more obvious market trend, not only the face of many market experts, but also the proportion of private entrepreneurs. State-owned enterprises. Companies that represent "Internet +" and emerging industries are growing faster.

“There are so many young companies and entrepreneurs entering Zhongnanhai in history are relatively rare.” The above-mentioned person said that the Prime Minister’s proposal to “mass entrepreneurship and innovation” as the new engine of the economy is in line with the needs of China’s transformation. It has already shown support and inclination for entrepreneurial innovation, and this strength is expected to increase in the second half of the year.

Accurate and stable economy
The current complex domestic and international situation and the weakness of traditional data have caused the Chinese economy to continue to face significant downward pressure. A participating scholar told the "First Financial Daily" on the 13th that the Prime Minister attached great importance to the opinions and suggestions of the people. The questions reflected by the speakers will be further questioned from time to time, and the suggestions made by the participants, he sometimes bowed his records, sometimes Interjection discussion. The above scholars said that everyone's judgment on China's economic fundamentals is good, and they are full of confidence in the future. However, they have raised many serious problems from their respective fields of expertise. The atmosphere of the symposium is warm.

Li Keqiang said at the meeting that although some structural contradictions accumulated over the years have further appeared, the long-term economic fundamentals have not changed, and still have great resilience, potential and room for maneuver. The potential growth rate of China's economy can support medium and high-speed growth. The key is to follow the law of development, firmly develop confidence, master the initiative of development, and promote it with greater efforts and endurance. From the main point of view of the experts at the meeting, the judgment on China's economic development is stable and tends to improve.

Zhu Baoliang, chief economist of the Economic Forecasting Department of the National Information Center, said that when the economic data pointed out, 7% of the economic growth rate is in line with expectations. For China's large economic volume, this speed is "still possible." He also believes that the 7% growth rate is also a normal reaction of China in the period of reform and economic restructuring. Liu Yuanchun, executive director of the National Development and Strategy Institute of Renmin University of China, believes that China's macro economy is currently in a state of depression and prosperity, depression and bubbles. After 2015 to 2016, we will fully cultivate new growth sources and new dynamic mechanisms. China's macro economy will rebound steadily in 2017 and gradually enter the track of steady growth in the medium and high speed.

Lian Ping, chief economist of the Bank of Communications, recently made a series of predictions on China's macroeconomic situation in the second half of the year. He said that there are two major uncertainties in economic growth: First, whether the real estate market will recover and whether it can drive real estate investment to pick up during the year; second, whether the issuance of local government bonds, debt swaps and promotion of PPP projects can solve infrastructure investment. The source of funding. In this regard, he put forward six suggestions: First, to rationally guide the stable and healthy development of the real estate market; second, to pragmatically promote the "China Manufacturing 2025" effective landing; third, to improve the income level of residents and improve the consumer environment; fourth, to enhance the implementation of active fiscal policy Efficiency; Fifth, monetary policy focuses on further dredging transmission channels and reducing financing costs; sixth, it is recommended to keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable.

Debt drags down the Chinese economy
Zhang Jun, dean of the School of Economics of Fudan University, received a phone call on the morning of the 7th to attend the forum. The theme of the symposium was “The current economic situation and the future economic policy”. Around this theme, Zhang Jun chose the debt issue he was studying in the past as a speech. Zhang Jun said at the symposium that the current downturn in China's economy is mainly due to the decline in potential growth rate, but the debt drag. "I use the word 'lare'." Zhang Jun said that after 2008, large-scale economic stimulus led to debt expansion, which has become the "stretching force" of China's economic downturn. After the debt is too large, it restricts local governments and enterprises. Investment needs. In addition, Zhang Jun believes that the current lack of investment, or lack of investment opportunities, is largely due to the decline in investment itself. Therefore, the lack of economic demand is actually because the investment has dropped rapidly, and there is no investment demand. Because the debt is dragged down, it is imperative to solve the problem of debt drag. To solve the debt drag, Zhang Jun’s suggestion is that the central government’s credit must be used. The central government can issue a large number of long-term bonds to write off large-scale debt. "I suggested at the time that if it can take two to three years to write off the current one-third of the debt, then the Chinese economy will return to a relatively fast growth of around 8%." Zhang Jun said that he is very supportive. Current debt swap.

When Zhang Jun talked about this, the Prime Minister interjected, "This is what we must increase now. This is also the use of credit from our country." In addition, Zhang Jun also said that in the medium and long term, China's transformation The core of the financial transformation is that the urgent task of financial transformation is to develop the bond market.

After 2008, the scale of social financing is getting bigger and bigger, and the scale of social financing is basically 2.5 times that of GDP. Such a large-scale financing, how to serve the real economy, Zhang Jun feels that this is the biggest challenge to China, so he suggested that Actively developing the bond market, the bond market has developed well, and it has also helped stabilize China's capital market. In the discussion, Zhang Jun said that everyone also said that institutional investors are more rational, and if there are more institutional investors, they will definitely invest in the bond market. At this time, the Prime Minister also intervened, indicating that he agreed.

Continue to vigorously "tough" innovation
At the symposium on the same day, Suning Yunshang Zhang Jindong and Qihoo 360 Chairman Zhou Hongyi [microblogging] and other market "fengyun people" talked about business management and entrepreneurial innovation. Our reporters found that several of the companies involved in this conference mainly involved emerging fields such as the Internet, drones, environmental protection, and e-commerce. They were very different from the past when the "state-owned enterprises gathered" and "heavy workers got together". The person in the opening paragraph told this newspaper that the Prime Minister not only personally went to the first-line enterprises of entrepreneurial innovation to communicate with small and micro enterprises, but also emphasized the need to listen to their voices in daily office and meetings. Zhang Jun told this newspaper that the Prime Minister is more aware of the idea of ​​relying on reform to promote transformation and expanding and expanding by transformation. The participation of these enterprises shows that the new growth point in China's economic transformation has formed a certain volume.

Zhou Hongyi attended the economic situation symposium wearing his signature red T-shirt. “Premier Li said that it is necessary to vigorously promote mass entrepreneurship and innovation, support the development of innovative enterprises, especially innovative small and micro enterprises, and let various innovative resources gather in enterprises, so that more financial products and services can meet the needs of innovation, with innovative Wings have made Chinese companies fly to new heights. Mass entrepreneurship and innovation have activated thousands of market cells. This is what makes us excited." Zhou Hongyi said.

Li Keqiang stressed at the meeting that China's economic upgrading and development depend on reform and innovation. Enterprises are the main players in the market and the mainstay of innovation. We must continue to implement the innovation-driven strategy and seize the opportunity of the “Made in China 2025” and “Internet Plus” actions and promote the “One Belt and One Road” and international capacity cooperation, facing the market and close to the demand. Focus on improving core competitiveness and branding capabilities. He said that it is necessary to vigorously promote mass entrepreneurship and innovation, support the development of innovative enterprises, especially innovative small and micro enterprises, and let various innovative resources gather in enterprises, so that more financial products and services can meet the needs of innovation, with innovative wings. Chinese companies are flying to new heights. "Several entrepreneurs have said that the added value of the manufacturing industry will be lower and lower, from simple manufacturing to production services. This concept is also of concern to the Prime Minister." Zhang Jun said.

The mid-level managers of some of the emerging companies told the newspaper on the 13th that the current pressure on the company is still due to the imperfections of industry barriers and regulations. “A lot of things in the emerging industry are blank, which requires the government to increase its follow-up efforts,” said one person.

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