Swiss physicists plan to build a "predicting future machine" with 1 billion euros
If you enter all the data about the world into a black box, can this black box become a crystal ball that will allow you to see the future - and even test what will happen according to your choice? At least one person thinks it is okay, and he is about to get $1 billion in funds to build this black box.
Super machine predicts the future.
Many economists believe that Greece must withdraw from the euro zone and devalue its currency. In theory, only this can help the economy. "Yes, it will be very difficult for (Greece) to exit the euro area in an orderly manner," said Norell, an economist at New York University. In an article for the British Financial Times, Nouriel Roubini stated: "But seeing the Greek economy and society slowly and disorderly collapse is even worse."
In fact, the problem itself is very simple - does Greece need to withdraw from the euro? But the consequences of the problem will be unpredictable, and the results will be too complex. Even the smartest experts in the world cannot grasp the changes that this will bring.
Dirk Helbing, a physicist and professor of sociology at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich, Switzerland, tried to spend 1 billion euros to build a computing system that would Make effective predictions. The problems mentioned above are exactly the motivation to stimulate him to do so. Helbin’s system is by no means limited to predicting one aspect of finance, policy, or the environment. His goal is very clear, that is to predict everything - that is, everything in this world - to find the solution to the most thorny problems faced by decision makers. The core of this project is called the LivingEarth Simulator, which tries to simulate a global-scale system - including economics, government, cultural trends, epidemics, agriculture, technological development and more - This requires a huge amount of data flow, advanced algorithms, and hardware facilities that allow the system to operate. The European Commission was impressed by Herbin’s hard work for sales. Therefore, in the final competition with six projects, he ranked Helbin’s project first and invested 1 billion euros in his project. .
This system is the most ambitious expression of "mass data." For many scientists, this trend is comparable to the invention of a telescope or microscope. Nicholas Christakis, a medical professor and sociologist at Harvard University in the United States, said that exponentially increasing digital information combines computer science, social science, and biology in various ways. Ability to deal with problems that previously could not be solved. Christenses cites an example where ubiquitous mobile phones can create a lot of data, such as where a person is going, what they are buying, and even what people are thinking about. Many scientists believe that as long as these data are combined with other types of data—such as data from genomics, economics, politics, and other fields—numerous new areas of discovery will soon open their doors to scientists.
"Scientific advancement is generally driven by instruments," said David Lazer, an associate professor at the Northwestern University's School of Computer and Information Sciences and a supporter of the Helbin project. With the tool, the task will follow, as Rezeel said: "Science is like a drunk looking for a key under a street lamp because the light there is better." Support for Helbin For their part (including dozens of highly respected scientists from all over the world), a billion euros of funds is enough to obtain a very bright "light." However, there are still many scientists who are skeptical about the need to aggregate global data into a central database. They believe that a better way is to form data clouds through the Internet and then use links to make them available to everyone. This data sharing format allows more people to have the opportunity to browse and view data, and then find potential contacts, and create a communication venue for competitive ideas.
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