China's renewable energy power generation market analysis

"Two ends out" has always been a lingering pain in China's photovoltaic industry. In particular, under the influence of the European debt crisis and the US “double reverse” investigation, the downturn in the international market made Chinese PV companies urgently hope to open up the domestic market.

At a recent press conference on responding to the US “solar survey” of solar energy products, several major domestic PV companies agreed that the main purpose of saving production capacity is not to dump the US but to prepare for the outbreak of the Chinese PV market.

Although the introduction of the benchmark price has enabled the domestic renewable energy power generation market to start, there have been no signs of large-scale development. On the contrary, various issues have occurred frequently and controversy has continued.

However, when it entered the last month of 2011, many good news came out: The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” target for the development of renewable energy was introduced, and the additional charge standard for renewable energy prices was doubled, and the power quota system will also be in early 2012. Implementation.

Recently, in an interview with reporters, many experts said that various policies showed that China's renewable energy market will continue to have a good momentum of development in 2012, especially in the power generation market, there will be major breakthroughs, but the normative development will still be this year. Keywords

Regulating the market is still the key

On December 15, 2011, the National Energy Administration announced the 12th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy. By 2015, China's total non-fossil energy development will reach 480 million tons of standard coal, an increase of 220 million tons compared to 2010. Among them, wind power will reach 100 million kilowatts, and annual power generation will be 190 billion kilowatt-hours; solar power will generate 15 million kilowatts, and annual energy output will be 20 billion kwh.

According to the calculation of the target, the scale of renewable energy development in China will continue to grow rapidly during the “12th Five-Year Plan” period, with an average annual increase of 3 million kilowatts of solar energy, and the development momentum will continue unabated.

Due to the influence of the international situation, the current situation of China's solar energy industry is not optimistic. However, Meng Xianyi, deputy director of the Renewable Energy Society, believes that from the perspective of the renewable energy policies promulgated in the second half of this year, solar energy will be the biggest benefit. "So it is not The problem of "pessimistic" and "optimistic" is that policy support is particularly evident and the market is bound to develop greatly."

However, the average annual increase in wind power in this plan is lower than the 18.9 GW in 2010.

This is due to the fact that China’s current wind power installation has reached a relatively large scale, and it must be developed in an orderly manner in light of its ability to absorb, transport, and support the power grid.

China's current wind power installations have greatly exceeded the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" target announced in 2008. The failure of the grid to prepare for accommodation has also become one of the reasons for the phenomenon of "discarding the wind."

Recently, Liu Qi, deputy director of the National Energy Administration, commented that new energy sources such as wind power are developing too quickly. “Some people are thrilled” during the 12th Five-Year Plan period will strengthen the management of wind power industry, pay close attention to wind power integration and absorption work, and improve wind power technology and quality requirements. To ensure the orderly development of wind power.

Meng Xianzhe said that the reason for the phenomenon of "abandoning electricity" and "disappearing winds" is that the system is incomplete. In order to avoid this disorderly development, the market should be regulated on the one hand and policies should be perfected on the other. At the same time, relevant power grid companies should be actively involved.

Although the rapid development has led to some problems in the renewable energy field in China, the development momentum in 2012 will continue to be maintained. In the future, it will enter a stage of development that pursues quality and effectiveness.

China will also intensively introduce a series of industry standards and norms this year.

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